Earliest Signal of Intent

Everyone in marketing agrees on one thing: Intent shows up when someone searches. It doesn’t.

Staff

Search is where intent becomes visible. Not where it starts.

Here’s a more useful way to think about it:

Intent Timeline:

  1. Passive content consumption
  2. Pattern formation
  3. Trigger event
  4. Search
  5. Purchase

Most of our industry operates on steps 4 and 5.

Which means:
We’re competing after demand already exists

What’s been surprising to me:
When you look at video consumption at scale, you see patterns forming days or weeks before search behavior changes

  • interests cluster early
  • “unexpected audiences” show up consistently
  • context matters more than category

Example:

Someone watching:

  • meal prep
  • morning routines
  • fitness transformations

Is often closer to a Nike purchase moment than someone watching basketball highlights.

That’s not demographic.

That’s behavior.

If AI is going to drive media decisions (it will), then the real question becomes:

What signal is it learning from?

Because whoever owns the earliest signal of intent……controls what happens next.